If anyone’s following, 4,588 of 27,669 polls have reported their results, and MMP is losing 37% to 63%. Here are the unofficial results in real time.

Needless to say, it doesn’t look good.

Thanks to Scott M. for the tip-off at Fruits & Votes. Incidentally, there’s an interesting discussion in the same thread as to whether STV would have fared better with voters. STV came within a point of winning in British Columbia’s 2005 referendum.