PR-STV on the ballot in Cincinnati
The Hamilton County, OH Board of Elections yesterday certified a petition by the Cincinnati NAACP to put proportional representation on the November ballot.
If the measure passes, voters will use the single transferable vote to elect a nine-member city council, renewing a 30-year good government experiment that ended in a vitriolic 1957 repeal effort:
The single transferable vote had allowed African Americans to be elected for the first time, with two blacks being elected to the city council in the 1950s. The nation was also seeing the first stirrings of the Civil Rights movement and racial tensions were running high. PR opponents shrewdly decided to make race an explicit factor in their repeal campaign. They warned whites that PR was helping to increase black power in the city and asked them whether they wanted a “Negro mayor.” Their appeal to white anxieties succeeded, with whites supporting repeal by a two to one margin.
I have tried recently to focus on international democracy assistance, but this could be a major development in the history of American democracy and world of electoral systems.
Today only Ireland, Northern Ireland, Australia, Malta, New Zealand, Scotland (h/t to James) and Cambridge, Mass. use STV (of the multimember variety) for governmental elections, so Cincinnati would add a case to that family.
Cincinnati is the next page in a long and underexposed history of election reform in America. From the Progressive Era through the Civil Rights movement, 22 US cities (or 24 depending on definitions) used PR-STV for local elections, many of which were in Ohio. The second to last experiment ended in 2002 with the disbanding of New York City’s school board.
While system performance varied by city and indicator, STV’s overall record was positive:
On the whole, from the available evidence, proportional representation seemed to have a beneficial effect on the cities that adopted it. It clearly produced more representative government and, where voters wanted it, a more diverse party system. Large increases in the number of effective votes were also enjoyed in these cities. It may not have resulted in the substantial increases in voter turnout that proponents predicted, but neither did it produce the increases in voter alienation that critics feared. And finally, even though PR city councils were often more diverse politically, this did not seem to impair their political efficiency or effectiveness.
Good sources for more specifics are Doug Amy’s site linked above and Robert Kolesar in Proportional Representation and Election Reform in Ohio, Kathleen Barber ed., OSU Press 1995.
STV seeks proportional results and maximizes ‘votes that elect’ by transferring votes in excess of a quota to voters’ next-ranked choices. With nine seats in Cincinnati, it will take 10 percent of votes to win each. There are different ways to transfer surplus, and Cincinnati would use the quasi-random “Cincinnati method.”
Who cares? American reformers, for one, but the ends they are pursuing should not be lost on the international democracy assistance community, which has engaged in electoral engineering from Afghanistan to Nepal over the past few years.
As Donald Horowitz, Ben Reilly and others have noted, STV (and its single-winner cousin) can benefit divided societies through the incentive it presents to campaign for second- and third-choice support outside one’s group. Because it’s a proportional system, STV prevents exclusion of significant minority groups, especially as the number of seats to elect increases. As a candidate-centric system, STV emphasizes entrepreneurial campaigns over party labels. Finally, as a system based on multimember districts, it reduces incentives to gerrymander.
Not all contexts would benefit. Innumeracy can be a barrier to a method based on ranking, and places with highly fragmented party systems probably need stronger incentives for cohesion. These caveats notwithstanding, democracy promoters should embrace the wealth of lessons learned - and to be learned - about the growing number of STV cases at home and abroad.
James Gilmour on 28 Aug 2008 at 12:36 pm #
If Cincinnati Council would add one to the STV family of government elections, you should include in your worldwide list all 32 of Scotland’s Local Authorities (1,222 councillors in all). STV-PR was introduced for these local government elections in May 2007. There’s lots of information available about the election rules, the counting method and how well voters got what they wanted. STV-PR has certainly changed the face of local government in Scotland!
Jack on 28 Aug 2008 at 12:50 pm #
An egregious omission on my part, James.
Scotland’s first try with STV for local councils was overwhelmingly successful, if I recall correctly.
This report (PDF) from the Electoral Reform Society discusses them.
Jack on 28 Aug 2008 at 12:53 pm #
There are also some good write-ups on the Scottish local elections at FairVote’s PR department.
Jack on 28 Aug 2008 at 3:33 pm #
We should also add New Zealand local councils.
Fruits and Votes » Prof. Shugart's Blog » Cincy-STV on 29 Aug 2008 at 3:53 pm #
[...] Jack notes at The Democratic Piece, an initiative to adopt the single transferable vote for Cincinnati’s city council has qualified for this November’s election. [...]
Antony Hodgson on 29 Aug 2008 at 5:11 pm #
Minneapolis and Davis have also voted in favour of using STV, and numerous US cities have adopted Instant Runoff Voting (eg, Oakland, San Francisco, Pierce County, etc).
MSS on 31 Aug 2008 at 5:41 pm #
Any early indicators of whether the initiative has a good chance of passing? I know almost nothing about Cincy politics, but the place has a reputation for being conservative. I could imagine that the NCAAP sponsorship might not be a big plus. Are other significant local organizations on board?
MSS on 31 Aug 2008 at 5:42 pm #
By the way, regarding:
…STV (and its single-winner cousin) can benefit divided societies through the incentive it presents to campaign for second- and third-choice support outside one’s group.
The most comprehensive case study I know of suggests caution on drawing any such conclusion.
Jack on 02 Sep 2008 at 5:18 pm #
A very similar measure in 1991 failed 55%-45%. I don’t have a sense of the prospects, but there are a lot of good people from Cincinnati and the reform community working on the campaign.
The Democratic Piece » Yes on Cincinnati issue 8 on 17 Sep 2008 at 11:36 am #
[...] TDP readers know that Cincinnati will vote on proportional representation (STV/choice voting) in November. This is an historic and crucial [...]