BDM Predicts Whether Iran Will Build the Bomb

Posted on August 19th, 2009 rtio No comments  Print This Post

A recent NYT magazine article profiles Bruce Bueno de Mesquita’s work, including a recent game tree predicting whether Iran will have the bomb. Spoiler alert…..his answer is no.

Could his work be relevant in our understanding of democratic regime change or are there too many preferences to account for?