The Democratic Piece » Nuclear Bomb http://democraticpiece.com Tentative conclusions on democracy & governance Mon, 14 Jun 2010 03:23:01 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 BDM Predicts Whether Iran Will Build the Bomb http://democraticpiece.com/2009/08/19/bdm-predicts-whether-iran-will-build-the-bomb/ http://democraticpiece.com/2009/08/19/bdm-predicts-whether-iran-will-build-the-bomb/#comments Wed, 19 Aug 2009 06:40:17 +0000 rtio http://democraticpiece.com/2009/08/19/bdm-predicts-whether-iran-will-build-the-bomb/ A recent NYT magazine article profiles Bruce Bueno de Mesquita’s work, including a recent game tree predicting whether Iran will have the bomb. Spoiler alert…..his answer is no.

Could his work be relevant in our understanding of democratic regime change or are there too many preferences to account for?

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